Beware conventional wisdom and groupthink. Be skeptical of tidy explanations for complex past events. Be even more skeptical of confident predictions of future human behavior. Don’t fight the last war.

[from “Davos 2009: Beware the Tide of Groupthink” via BusinessWeek.  Hat tip to Tim O’Reilly’s excellent Twitter feed.]

Pretense of knowledge, anyone?  What if the Austrian school of economics is right?  If so, what happens next?

What builds trust?  What destroys it?  What store of value is safe?

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